Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.156364 0.180945 0.208094 0.240302 0.277472 0.319026 0.369019
2025-11-02 0.114797 0.146992 0.186231 0.237568 0.302983 0.383594 0.490574
2025-11-09 0.090287 0.124044 0.168101 0.229800 0.314018 0.425056 0.582798
2025-11-16 0.077982 0.113476 0.162459 0.234973 0.339662 0.485496 0.704487
2025-11-23 0.067780 0.103671 0.155659 0.236414 0.358807 0.537623 0.819351
2025-11-30 0.060412 0.096616 0.151374 0.240173 0.380731 0.595010 0.947414
2025-12-07 0.052547 0.087539 0.142602 0.235483 0.388458 0.630917 1.045618
2025-12-14 0.046454 0.080372 0.135739 0.232602 0.398112 0.670052 1.152378
2025-12-21 0.042390 0.075982 0.132726 0.235444 0.417092 0.725751 1.292083
2025-12-28 0.040207 0.074509 0.134350 0.246206 0.450510 0.808812 1.487526
2026-01-04 0.037626 0.071967 0.133740 0.252780 0.476983 0.882157 1.673248
2026-01-11 0.035198 0.069386 0.132709 0.258336 0.501970 0.955036 1.865535
2026-01-18 0.032501 0.066033 0.129979 0.260585 0.521388 1.020428 2.052640
2026-01-25 0.029475 0.061675 0.124854 0.257606 0.530365 1.067020 2.208674
2026-02-01 0.026235 0.056479 0.117472 0.249186 0.527355 1.089546 2.318370
2026-02-08 0.024768 0.054795 0.116966 0.254793 0.553646 1.173377 2.563600
2026-02-15 0.023067 0.052397 0.114695 0.256355 0.571462 1.241369 2.782399
2026-02-22 0.021748 0.050677 0.113658 0.260430 0.595055 1.323765 3.041241
2026-03-01 0.019825 0.047361 0.108769 0.255346 0.597661 1.360799 3.202507
2026-03-08 0.018243 0.044652 0.104937 0.252223 0.604325 1.407365 3.390447
2026-03-15 0.017240 0.043199 0.103817 0.255303 0.625750 1.489495 3.670592
2026-03-22 0.016865 0.043234 0.106181 0.266970 0.668903 1.626346 4.096888
2026-03-29 0.016221 0.042522 0.106674 0.274096 0.701714 1.741911 4.483396